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Impartial intelligence in an uncertain world |
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Cover Story
The arrest of a suspected veteran arms trafficker has highlighted the demand for weapons in South America and the shifts in Asian arms in the supply chain. Andy Webb-Vidal and Anthony Davis examine the global illegal arms industry.
18-Apr-2008
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*Firing line - Tracking Mexico's illegal weapons
The launch of a major security initiative by Mexican President Felipe Calderón in late 2006 may have disrupted the activities of the major drug cartels,...
15-May-2008
*Terms of endearment - South Korean president eclipses sunshine
Amid signs of engagement with the US and the six-party process, North Korea's relations with its southern neighbour have severely deteriorated. On 28 March, Pyongyang...
15-May-2008
*Red storm rising - India's intractable Maoist insurgency
While discussion of the threat posed to India by radical Islamist violence tends to dominate security assessments, the country's Maoist insurgency has been steadily expanding...
15-May-2008
*Business as usual - Is the Thai drugs war a political distraction?
On 4 April 2008, Thailand officially launched its second 'war on drugs' of the current decade. Hard-edged official rhetoric in the run-up to the latest...
15-May-2008
*Jihadist paradise - Yemen's terrorist threat re-emerges
There have been seven significant attacks on Westerners or foreign oil infrastructure in Yemen since the 15 September 2006 quadruple suicide bombing attack on two...
15-May-2008
*A thaw point - Frozen Azerbaijan-Armenia conflict warms up
An outbreak of violence in the South Caucasus in March 2008 has raised the prospect of renewed friction surrounding the frozen conflict in Nagorno-Karabakh, the...
13-May-2008
*In from the cold - Energy sparks tensions across Southern Cone
With demand for energy surging in the fast-growing economies of South America, the allocation of energy resources is creating political tensions, particularly between Bolivia, Brazil,...
13-May-2008
*Applying pressure - Tackling Afghanistan's insurgents
"Most people want to say 'well you can just steamroll all over them', but that is difficult to do when you realise that the...
13-May-2008
*Feeding frenzy - Shortages dish up trouble around the world
Since early 2007, increases in food prices have gone from being a mild inconvenience for consumers to being the cause of rioting in various different...
08-May-2008
*Hidden passages - Illusory reform belies constitutional change
In an echo of last year's monk-led protests, Myanmar's forthcoming constitutional referendum has once again raised false hopes of political reform. Although the constitution nominally...
02-May-2008
*Empire of the sun - Russian organised crime's global network
Russian organised crime poses a serious challenge to national and global security alike, and also poses complex challenges to criminal analysis. While discreet, local gangs...
28-Apr-2008
*Lords of war - Running the arms trafficking industry
The arrest of alleged veteran Russian arms trafficker Viktor Bout in Thailand on 6 March marked a major success for ongoing efforts to disrupt global ...
18-Apr-2008
*Politics as usual - Assessing Iran's parliamentary election results
On 14 March, Iranians went to the polls to vote for a new parliament, the eighth Majlis. Although most of the reformist candidates were disqualified...
17-Apr-2008
Egypt bolsters Gaza border security
Egypt sent an additional 1,200 security personnel to patrol its border with Gaza on 10 April. The move was prompted by Egyptian concerns that ...
17-Apr-2008
*Canada to keep troops in Afghanistan until 2011
Canada announced on 3 April that it will maintain its frontline role in Afghanistan beyond the February 2009 deadline it had set, after receiving ...
17-Apr-2008
*Endangered species - Al-Qaeda in Iraq adapts to survive
The demise of Al-Qaeda in Iraq (AQI) and affiliated movements is being heralded by a range of respected counter-insurgency experts. For instance, in an ...
16-Apr-2008
*Hot spots: the threat of emerging disease
A probable human-to-human case of H5N1 avian influenza was reported by the Chinese Centre for Disease Control and Prevention in April. The case, which ...
17-Apr-2008
*New Pakistan prime minister's cabinet sworn in
Twenty-four ministers were sworn in to Prime Minister Yusuf Raza Gilani's cabinet on 31 March. The event came after Gilani secured a historical unanimous ...
17-Apr-2008
*Kenya appoints prime minister and cabinet
Orange Democratic Movement (ODM) leader Raila Odinga has officially been named prime minister of Kenya, following President Mwai Kibaki's announcement of a new coalition ...
17-Apr-2008
*Berlusconi back in power after Italian elections
Former Italian prime minister Silvio Berlusconi returned to power on 14 April after a swing to the centre right saw his People of Freedom ...
17-Apr-2008
Ecuador purges armed forces and police
Ecuadorian President Rafael Correa replaced his minister of defence and national police commander on 9 April as accusations of institutional collusion with foreign intelligence ...
17-Apr-2008
*Secret Sanya - China's new nuclear naval base revealed
China is constructing a major underground nuclear submarine base at Sanya, on Hainan Island off its southern coast, Jane's can confirm. Although Asian military sources...
15-Apr-2008
*Into Africa - Peacekeeping challenges in 2008
In March 2008, some 68,000 international peacekeepers were based in Africa, including 69 per cent of the UN's global deployment. While the result is that...
10-Apr-2008
*Nostra damned? - Police chip away at Sicily's Cosa Nostra
Italian law enforcement agencies have achieved several high-profile successes against the Sicilian mafia in recent years, with the arrest of long-term leader Bernardo Provenzano in ...
09-Apr-2008
*Transferred hostility - Ethiopia and Eritrea's unregulated tensions
On 14 March 2008, a blast demolished a bus in northern Ethiopia killing eight people and wounding 26. The government was quick to blame Eritrea,...
09-Apr-2008
*Strait talking
"We have one thing we call bikini defence, like the lady with the bikini at the swimming pool," claims former Taiwanese lieutenant general Shuai ...
07-Apr-2008
*Troubled triangle - Achieving security in the Karamoja region
Two peace deals in eastern Africa in early 2008 appear to suggest an improvement in the region's stability. On 17 March, Kenya's parliament accepted a...
04-Apr-2008
*Morales dilemma - Bolivia's turbulent existential angst
With Bolivia's 18-month process of constitutional reform finally drawing to a close, bitter debate over the new constitution is raising the prospect of renewed social ...
03-Apr-2008
*Hungry eyes - Gazprom looks to Nigeria gas for investment
Russian firm Gazprom's domination of European gas markets is well known. The Russian giant controls the largest gas reserves in the world and exports huge...
31-Mar-2008
Armenian and Azerbaijani troops clash in Nagorno-Karabakh
Up to 16 soldiers were killed in a clash between Armenian and Azerbaijani troops along the boundaries of the separatist Nagorno-Karabakh region on 4 ...
13-Mar-2008
Serbian government crisis triggers early elections
Serbian Prime Minister Vojislav Kostunica called on the president to disband parliament on 8 March, triggering early elections likely to be held on 11 ...
13-Mar-2008
*Uncivil war? - Sudan peace rests on a knife edge
More than three years after the Comprehensive Peace Agreement (CPA) was signed to end Sudan's 21-year civil war, the historic deal is beginning to unravel. ...
13-Mar-2008
*US investigates Venezuela terrorism links
The US government is reportedly conducting a preliminary inquiry into the Venezuelan government's links to the insurgent group Revolutionary Armed Forces of Colombia (Fuerzas ...
13-Mar-2008
*Bombers target Pakistani security agency
Two near-simultaneous suicide bombings took place in the eastern Pakistani city of Lahore in Punjab state on 11 March. The attacks killed at least ...
13-Mar-2008
*Leaders in waiting - Zimbabwe prepares for post-election tussle
Despite the certainty of the result, Zimbabwe's March 2008 elections are historic. For the first time since democracy was introduced in 1980, presidential, senatorial, parliamentary...
13-Mar-2008
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