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State Stability |
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*Close shave - Turkey's AKP faces policy dilemma
In early 2007, Turkey's Constitutional Court and the country's still powerful military combined to prevent the ruling Justice and Development Party (Adalet ve Kalk?nma Partisi:...
14-Aug-2008
*A bitter battle - Hysteria and revenge in Malaysian politics
Despite being ruled by a single coalition since independence in 1957, politics in Malaysia rarely lacks intrigue. The current political situation is a case in ...
12-Aug-2008
*Breaching the peace - Will the Hamas-Israel ceasefire hold?
Ceasefires in Gaza have historically been characterised as brief periods of comparative calm before renewed outbreaks of hostilities. However, the announcement on 19 June of ...
18-Jul-2008
*On thin ice - Chechen stability hinges on president
The fighting that has blighted the Russian Republic of Chechnya since the onset of the First Chechen War in 1994 has diminished significantly in recent ...
17-Jul-2008
*Recouping losses - Fiji's regime considers its future
In December 2006, Republic of Fiji Military Force (RFMF) head Commodore Voreqe Bainimarama, also known as Frank, staged the island state's fifth coup since its ...
12-Jun-2008
*Mass mobilisation - The rise of Iran's paramilitary enforcer
Alarge, omnipresent paramilitary organisation with multi-faceted roles, the Basij is the eyes and ears of Iran's Islamic regime. Under the tutelage of the Islamic Revolutionary ...
12-Jun-2008
*The FNL countdown - Burundi's last insurgents agree ceasefire
After 15 years of civil war in the central African country of Burundi, a ceasefire has been reached between the government and the country's last ...
11-Jun-2008
*Acrimonious Aceh - Peace eludes Indonesia's restive province
Almost three years since the signing of the groundbreaking August 2005 Helsinki peace deal between the former rebel Free Aceh Movement (Gerakan Aceh Merdeka: GAM) ...
06-Jun-2008
*Hidden passages - Illusory reform belies constitutional change
In an echo of last year's monk-led protests, Myanmar's forthcoming constitutional referendum has once again raised false hopes of political reform. Although the constitution nominally...
02-May-2008
*Politics as usual - Assessing Iran's parliamentary election results
On 14 March, Iranians went to the polls to vote for a new parliament, the eighth Majlis. Although most of the reformist candidates were disqualified...
17-Apr-2008
*Leaders in waiting - Zimbabwe prepares for post-election tussle
Despite the certainty of the result, Zimbabwe's March 2008 elections are historic. For the first time since democracy was introduced in 1980, presidential, senatorial, parliamentary...
13-Mar-2008
*Coming together - Bhutan's long and winding road to democracy
Bhutan completes its journey to democracy on 24 March when it holds its first ever national lower house (National Assembly) legislative elections. The polls ...
03-Mar-2008
*Calculated risk - Analysing global stability
This month, Jane's is launching the new Country Risk Ratings, evaluating the stability of 232 countries, non-contiguous territories and de facto independent political entities. These ...
15-Feb-2008
*Any port in a storm - Securing peace in Haiti
When international humanitarian organisation Medecins sans Frontières (MSF) announced plans in December 2007 to withdraw from Cité Soleil, one of the most violent districts of ...
04-Feb-2008
*Taking the reins - Turkmenistan's post-Niyazov development
In the year following the sudden death of then-Turkmen president Saparmurad Niyazov in December 2006, his successor Gurbanguly Berdymukhammedov has successfully established himself as the...
17-Jan-2008
Tribal turmoil - Kenyan election exposes ethnic fissures
Kenya's general election on 27 December has brought into question the viability and sustainability of one of Africa's leading democracies. Despite largely peaceful conduct of...
17-Jan-2008
*Divide and rule - Georgia's political frenzy
In November, Georgia faced its greatest political crisis since the overthrow of President Eduard Shevardnadze by Mikheil Saakashvili's National Movement in 2003. President Saakashvili overreacted...
18-Dec-2007
*General emergency - President Musharraf's tenuous grip on power
In 1999, Pakistan's Chief of Army Staff General Pervez Musharraf cited the protection of the judiciary as one justification for his military coup that ousted...
15-Nov-2007
*Tug of war - Territorial shifts in northern Somalia
Given the volume of news coming from southern Somalia, it is relatively easy to neglect the fighting in the north over the city of Laascaanood...
15-Nov-2007
Breaking point - The fragile Union of Comoros
During the three decades since independence from France, Comoros has become a byword for instability, progressing from Maoist revolution to mercenary rule to secessionist crisis...
18-Sep-2007
Political takeover - Organised crime undermines Guatemala's elections
Only 11 years after the formal conclusion of its 36-year civil war, Guatemala remains one of Latin America's most violent and unstable countries. Corruption is...
14-Aug-2007
*Fatah's fatigue - Palestinian stalemate's regional repercussions
The release on 4 July of BBC journalist Alan Johnston after more than four months spent in captivity neatly illustrated the new Palestinian order. ...
19-Jul-2007
*New protector - Papua New Guinea warms to China
Papua New Guinea (PNG) will go to the polls on 30 June in an election that, irrespective of the result, is likely to further ...
14-Jun-2007
Growing Opposition - Zimbabwe faces an uncertain future
Zimbabwe's President Robert Mugabe is 83 years old. Despite his age, he is currently seeking a further six-year presidential term in elections due in ...
11-Jun-2007
*Vying for position - Nepal's former rebels struggle to enter the fold
Six former insurgents from the Communist Party of Nepal-Maoist (CPN-M) were finally sworn in on 1 April as part of the interim government after ...
23-Apr-2007
*Ancien regime - Guinea's government faces an uncertain future
The meltdown of Guinea has cooled since the appointment of Lansana Kouyaté as executive prime minister on 26 February. The new prime minister was ...
13-Mar-2007
*Baby blues - Japan's declining birth rate causes concern
The statement that women are 'birth giving machines' in a speech on 28 January by Japanese Minister for Health and Welfare Hakuo Yanagisawa was ...
08-Mar-2007
*Dicing with democracy - Bangladesh's political process breaks down
With the indefinite postponement of Bangladesh's fourth election since the return of democracy in 1991 and the subsequent declaration of emergency rule, the country ...
15-Feb-2007
Death of Turkmenbashi
As with so much else in the closed world of Turkmenistan, mystery surrounds Niyazov's death. Despite official reports of coronary failure, some reports in ...
19-Jan-2007
Gurbanguly Berdymukhammedov
Before being named by the Turkmen Security Council, acting President Gurbanguly Myalikgulyevich Berdymukhammedov was a relatively unknown figure. Since 2001, he has served as ...
19-Jan-2007
*Cult following - Turkmenistan after Niyazov
According to the official Turkmen media, Turkmenistan's President-for-life Saparmurad Niyazov died at 0110 on 21 December 2006 owing to a massive cardiac arrest. Niyazov,...
19-Jan-2007
*Fiji's 'clean-up' coup
An element of surprise is usually vital in a coup d'etat, but Fiji's military commander Commodore Voreqe Bainimarama changed all the rules. Playing a...
12-Jan-2007
*Hostile house Tough times ahead for Ecuador's new president
The outcome of the 15 October 2006 and 26 November 2006 general elections in Ecuador has produced a complex and potentially explosive situation. The ...
15-Dec-2006
*Sri Lanka returns to war
After four years of intermittent ceasefire and a superficial peace process, the Sri Lankan civil war has restarted and both sides seem committed to ...
19-Oct-2006
*Contested presidential election undermines stability in Mexico
Mexico's second set of democratic elections since 2000 has proved unexpectedly destabilising for the young democracy, despite the unprecedented transparency of the voting procedures ...
25-Sep-2006
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